ENJOY FREE DELIVERY WITHIN NAIROBI FOR ORDERS ABOVE 10,000
Nuria App
Kenyan Shilling (KSh)
  • Kenyan Shilling (KSh)
  • United States (US) dollar ($)
  • Pound sterling (£)
  • Ugandan Shilling (UGX)
0 Wishlist
Login / Register
  • Home
  • Shop
  • Kenyan Books
  • Rare Books
  • Gift Card
  • Blog
  • Contact Us
  • SELL ON NURIA
  • VENDOR LOGIN
Menu
4 items KShs5,135.00
Browse Categories
  • Kenya Books
  • Rare Books
  • International Bestsellers
  • Self Help & Motivation
  • Fiction
  • Autobiography
  • Business
  • Children’s Books
  • Kids & Teens
  • African Interest
  • Educational Books
  • Romances & Thrillers
HELP / SUPPORT

0794 233 261

4 items KShs5,135.00
View basket “Cat Dog and Dove” has been added to your basket.
-10%Sold out
Click to enlarge
Home Books Business Superforecasting
Peak by Anders Ericsson and Robert Pool KShs1,495.00 KShs1,421.00
Back to products
Dictator KShs850.00 KShs808.00

Superforecasting

KShs1,500.00 KShs1,350.00

Nuria Ranking: #486 in Business

Out of stock

Get updates when restocked

Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters.
As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts’ predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught? In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events.
Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They’ve beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They’ve even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are “superforecasters.” In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn’t require powerful computers or arcane methods.
It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course. Superforecasting offers the first demonstrably effective way to improve our ability to predict the future—whether in business, finance, politics, international affairs, or daily life—and is destined to become a modern classic.

ISBN:2147483647

Author:Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner

Add KShs4,865.00 worth of products to your cart for free delivery within Nairobi!
Add to wishlist
SKU: d9731321ef4e Categories: Books, Business
Share:
Close
  • Shipping
  • Reviews (0)
  • Vendor Info
  • More Products
Shipping
Reviews (0)
Rated 0 out of 5
0 reviews
Rated 5 out of 5
0
Rated 4 out of 5
0
Rated 3 out of 5
0
Rated 2 out of 5
0
Rated 1 out of 5
0

Reviews

Clear filters

There are no reviews yet.

Be the first to review “Superforecasting” Cancel reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *


Vendor Info

Vendor Information

  • Store Name: Nuria Kenya
  • Vendor: nuria
  • No ratings found yet!
More Products

Tanko falls Down 2d

Books, Educational Books, Primary School, Primary Literature
KShs699.00
By Frank Odoi
Add to wishlist
Add to basket
Quick view

Stories of Ourselves: Volume 1: Cambridge Assessment International Education Anthology of Stories in English

Books, Educational Books, International Curriculum
KShs2,200.00
This series contains poetry and prose anthologies composed of writers from across the English-speaking world. Parts of Stories of Ourselves Volume 1 are set for study in Cambridge IGCSE (R), O Level and International AS & A Level Literature in... By
Add to wishlist
Add to basket
Quick view

Mentor Social Studies Grade 7

Educational Books, Competency Based Curriculum, Books, Grade 7
KShs1,170.00
Mentor Social Studies Grade 7 Learner’s Book has been designed to meet the requirements of the Competency Based Curriculum and the Curriculum Design. This is to adequately help the learner to achieve the specific learning outcomes for the Junior... By Mentor
Add to wishlist
Add to basket
Quick view

Quick Reading Business Studies F 2 [Approved]

Books, 8-4-4, Secondary Revision Books, Quick Reading Business Studies
KShs313.00
Add to wishlist
Add to basket
Quick view

DK-Entrepreneurs who Changed History

Higher Education, Business & Management, DK, Books, Educational Books
KShs2,660.00
WHETHER TITANS OF INDUSTRY, INFLUENTIAL BUSINESS LEADERS, OR CREATORS OF HISTORYS MOST RECOGNIZABLE BRANDS, THESE ENTREPRENEURS HAD THE VISION, INNOVATION, AND RUTHLESS DETERMINATION TO MAKE THEIR MARKS ON OUR SOCIETY IN INDELIBLE WAYS.... By DK
Add to wishlist
Add to basket
Quick view

Jolly Jumbo Jumped with Joy

Books, 8-4-4, Revision Encyclopedia, English Readers
KShs150.00
Add to wishlist
Add to basket
Quick view

Related products

-5%

Trusted Advice Your New Baby

Books, Parenting
KShs999.00 KShs950.00
Brief summary Caring for your newborn during the first six months From parenting Guru Dr Miriam Stoppard comes the Trusted Advice series; providing warm and reassuring advice and guidance for every step of the way. With a fresh, contemporary feel and affordable price, these books are perfect for reading cover to cover or to dip in and out of for quick reference. Clear, concise directions show you how to feed, bathe, hold and deal with your baby in a reassuring way. Featuring step-by-step illustrations and photo demonstrations, this book presents essential information as clearly as possible. As well as dealing with key issues such as sleeping, going out and comforting your baby, the book includes information on how girls and boys develop differently and how to adapt care for their individual needs. " ISBN:9781405356527 Author:Miriam Stoppard
Add to wishlist
Add to basket
Quick view
-8%

DIARY OF A WIMPY KID DOG DAYS

Books, Kids & Teens
KShs1,190.00 KShs1,099.00
t's summer vacation, the weather's great, and all the kids are having fun outside. So where's Greg Heffley? Inside his house, playing video games with the shades drawn. Greg, a self-confessed "indoor person," is living out his ultimate summer fantasy: no responsibilities and no rules. But Greg's mom has a different vision for an ideal summer . . . one packed with outdoor activities and "family togetherness." Whose vision will win out? Or will a new addition to the Heffley family change everything? ISBN:141331973 Author:KINNEY JEFF
Add to wishlist
Add to basket
Quick view
-17%

Diary of a Wimpy Kid:The Third Wheel

Books, Kids & Teens
KShs1,200.00 KShs1,000.00
Love is in the air—but what does that mean for Greg Heffley? A Valentine's Day dance at Greg's middle school has turned his world upside down. As Greg scrambles to find a date, he's worried he'll be left out in the cold on the big night. His best friend, Rowley, doesn't have any prospects either, but that's a small consolation. An unexpected twist gives Greg a partner for the dance and leaves Rowley the odd man out. But a lot can happen in one night, and in the end, you never know who's going to be lucky in love." ISBN:141348568 Author:KINNEY JEFF
Add to wishlist
Add to basket
Quick view
-15%

INFERNO BY DAN BROWN

Books, International Bestsellers
KShs1,990.00 KShs1,690.00
In his international blockbusters The Da Vinci Code, Angels & Demons, and The Lost Symbol, Dan Brown masterfully fused history, art, codes, and symbols. In this riveting new thriller, Brown returns to his element and has crafted his highest-stakes novel to date. In the heart of Italy, Harvard professor of symbology Robert Langdon is drawn into a harrowing world centered on one of history’s most enduring and mysterious literary masterpieces . . . Dante’s Inferno. Against this backdrop, Langdon battles a chilling adversary and grapples with an ingenious riddle that pulls him into a landscape of classic art, secret passageways, and futuristic science. Drawing from Dante’s dark epic poem, Langdon races to find answers and decide whom to trust . . . before the world is irrevocably altered." ISBN:804171540 Author:Dan Brown
Add to wishlist
Add to basket
Quick view
-16%

Wimpy Kid Do-It-Yourself Book

Books, Kids & Teens
KShs1,190.00 KShs1,000.00
The Wimpy Kid Do-It-Yourself Book, you're the author, illustrator, and main character. Filled with loads of interactive pages and plenty of space to write your own life's story, this book is all you need to create your masterpiece. Whatever you do, make sure you put it someplace safe after you finish. Because when you're rich and famous, this thing is going to be worth a fortune. ISBN:141339665 Author:Kinney Jeff
Add to wishlist
Add to basket
Quick view
-6%

Five People You Meet In Heaven by Albom Mitch

Books, Self Help & Motivation
KShs1,900.00 KShs1,790.00
Eddie is a wounded war veteran, an old man who has lived, in his mind, an uninspired life. His job is fixing rides at a seaside amusement park. On his 83rd birthday, a tragic accident kills him as he tries to save a little girl from a falling cart. He awakes in the afterlife, where he learns that heaven is not a destination, but an answer. In heaven, five people explain your life to you. Some you knew, others may have been strangers. One by one, from childhood to soldier to old age, Eddie's five people revisit their connections to him on earth, illuminating the mysteries of his "meaningless" life, and revealing the haunting secret behind the eternal question: "Why was I here?"
Add to wishlist
Add to basket
Quick view
-5%

DIARY OF A WIMPY KID: HARD LUCK

Books, Kids & Teens
KShs1,295.00 KShs1,231.00
Greg Heffley's on a losing streak. His best friend, Rowley Jefferson, has ditched him, and finding new friends in middle school is proving to be a tough task. To change his fortunes, Greg decides to take a leap of faith and turn his decisions over to chance. Will a roll of the dice turn things around, or is Greg's life destined to be just another hard-luck story? ISBN:141352381 Author:KINNEY JEFF
Add to wishlist
Add to basket
Quick view
-17%

DIARY OF A WIMPY KID

Books, Kids & Teens
KShs1,190.00 KShs990.00
It's a new school year, and Greg Heffley finds himself thrust into middle school, where undersized weaklings share the hallways with kids who are taller, meaner, and already shaving. The hazards of growing up before you're ready are uniquely revealed through words and drawings as Greg records them in his diary. In book one of this debut series, Greg is happy to have Rowley, his sidekick, along for the ride. But when Rowley's star starts to rise, Greg tries to use his best friend's newfound popularity to his own advantage, kicking off a chain of events that will test their friendship in hilarious fashion. ISBN:141324906 Author:KINNEY JEFF
Add to wishlist
Add to basket
Quick view
-5%

Wattsup Magazine Hard Cover

Books, Magazines
KShs349.00 KShs332.00
Brief Summary Watts up magazine is East Africa’s newest and only communication tool for the energy industry; a thought-leading, energy lifestyle magazine, developed to help the industry answer some of the critical questions it is currently grappling with. It is a bimonthly Magazine with topics covered as such renewables, waste-to-energy, future fuels, electric vehicles, smart energy, energy efficiency, new technology, energy security and more. We target to engage consumers by breaking down energy issues into simple to understand stories thus making a topic perceived to be relatively complex and boring interesting and actionable. • The Magazine highlights what organizations are doing across board to ease on matters impacting the communities. • We cover the wholes spectrum of Oil and Gas, upstream and downstream, from energy generation, source, transmission, distribution and retail in renewables, wind, solar, storage, hydro, gas and smart energy. • The magazine offers you a chance to speak to your core customers in a language they understand and take action.
Add to wishlist
Add to basket
Quick view
-11%

The Boy in the Striped Pyjamas by John Boyne

Books, Fiction and Non Fiction
KShs1,900.00 KShs1,690.00
Berlin 1942 When Bruno returns home from school one day, he discovers that his belongings are being packed in crates. His father has received a promotion and the family must move from their home to a new house far far away, where there is no one to play with and nothing to do. A tall fence running alongside stretches as far as the eye can see and cuts him off from the strange people he can see in the distance. But Bruno longs to be an explorer and decides that there must be more to this desolate new place than meets the eye. While exploring his new environment, he meets another boy whose life and circumstances are very different to his own, and their meeting results in a friendship that has devastating consequences.  
Add to wishlist
Add to basket
Quick view
-5%Sold out

Reckless

Books, Romances & Thrillers
KShs895.00 KShs851.00
Once upon a time, Tracy Whitney was one of the best thieves in the business. Then she settled down and had a child—a beautiful, bright, mischievous boy who was the center of her life. Tracy planned to spend the rest of her days quietly, living anonymously deep in the stunning Colorado mountains, devoted to raising her son. But tragedy forces her to face her greatest nightmare. Now, with nothing left to protect, this superb con artist, jewel thief, computer wizard, and cat burglar returns to the hunt, more dangerous, ruthless, and reckless than ever. The world faces a new terror threat from Group 99, a diverse collection of global hackers intent on the collapse of capitalism and private wealth and the creation of a new world order. When the group turns to violence—kidnapping an American investigative journalist, shooting a British military hostage, and blowing up an international industrialist—the mysterious woman pulling their strings, a wily and wealthy American known only as Althea, becomes the CIA’s most sought criminal. But their only hope of finding her is a woman with a dark and dangerous past of her own. A woman who has also successfully evaded detection by the authorities around the world: Tracy. Convinced that Althea is behind the deadly act that shattered her life, Tracy sets out on a global hunt to flush out her prey. But as she soon discovers, the truth is as elusive as her target. Hampered by corruption, lies, and enemies masked as allies, Tracy will be pushed to the brink, where she must face her darkest demons. All of her experience tells Tracy that the answers are right in front of her—if only she can look at the clues in the right way. Propelled by an unquenchable thirst for revenge, and with the fate of so many resting in her hands, just how reckless will Tracy become when she has nothing left to lose? An addictive tale of espionage, mystery, passion, greed, betrayal, and vengeance that takes you from the beautiful Rocky Mountains to Europe’s oldest and grandest cities, filled with a cast of intriguing characters both new and familiar, Sidney Sheldon’s Reckless is a glamorous thrill ride that will leave you breathless until its shocking end." ISBN:2147483647 Author:Sidney Sheldon, Tilly Bagshawe
Add to wishlist
Read more
Quick view
-14%

Divergent by Roth Veronica

Books, Kids & Teens
KShs1,390.00 KShs1,190.00
Paperback features over fifty pages of bonus materials, including a sneak peek of Insurgent, an author Q&A, a discussion guide, a Divergent playlist, faction manifestos, and more! In Beatrice Prior's dystopian Chicago world, society is divided into five factions, each dedicated to the cultivation of a particular virtue—Candor (the honest), Abnegation (the selfless), Dauntless (the brave), Amity (the peaceful), and Erudite (the intelligent). On an appointed day of every year, all sixteen-year-olds must select the faction to which they will devote the rest of their lives. For Beatrice, the decision is between staying with her family and being who she really is—she can't have both. So she makes a choice that surprises everyone, including herself. During the highly competitive initiation that follows, Beatrice renames herself Tris and struggles alongside her fellow initiates to live out the choice they have made. Together they must undergo extreme physical tests of endurance and intense psychological simulations, some with devastating consequences. As initiation transforms them all, Tris must determine who her friends really are—and where, exactly, a romance with a sometimes fascinating, sometimes exasperating boy fits into the life she's chosen. But Tris also has a secret, one she's kept hidden from everyone because she's been warned it can mean death. And as she discovers unrest and growing conflict that threaten to unravel her seemingly perfect society, she also learns that her secret might help her save those she loves . . . or it might destroy her. Veronica Roth is the New York Times bestselling author of Divergent, the first in a trilogy of dystopian thrillers filled with electrifying decisions, heartbreaking betrayals, stunning consequences, and unexpected romance."  
Add to wishlist
Add to basket
Quick view
-8%

DIARY OF A WIMPY KID LAST STRAW

Books, Kids & Teens
KShs1,200.00 KShs1,100.00
Let's face it: Greg Heffley will never change his wimpy ways. Somebody just needs to explain that to Greg's father. You see, Frank Heffley actually thinks he can get his son to toughen up, and he enlists Greg in organized sports and other "manly" endeavors. Of course, Greg is able to easily sidestep his father's efforts to change him. But when Greg's dad threatens to send him to military academy, Greg realizes he has to shape up . . . or get shipped out. ISBN:141324920 Author:KINNEY JEFF
Add to wishlist
Add to basket
Quick view
-9%

The Secret by Rhonda Byrne

Books, Self Help & Motivation
KShs3,490.00 KShs3,190.00
For the first time, all the pieces of The Secret come together in an incredible revelation that will be life-transforming for all who experience it. In this book, you'll learn how to use The Secret in every aspect of your life -- money, health, relationships, happiness, and in every interaction you have in the world. You'll begin to understand the hidden, untapped power that's within you, and this revelation can bring joy to every aspect of your life. The Secret contains wisdom from modern-day teachers -- men and women who have used it to achieve health, wealth, and happiness. By applying the knowledge of The Secret, they bring to light compelling stories of eradicating disease, acquiring massive wealth, overcoming obstacles, and achieving what many would regard as impossible.
Add to wishlist
Add to basket
Quick view
-21%

Jesma Trial Series Class 6

Books, Revision Books
KShs1,200.00 KShs950.00
Brief Summary Jesma Trial Series class 6 With a combination of a whole year exam series prepared for the learner to understand question answering technique.
Add to wishlist
Add to basket
Quick view
-5%

The Big Book of Customer Service Training Games

Books, Business
KShs2,495.00 KShs2,371.00
Help your employees to excel in dealing with the public with this stimulating, fun-filled collection of customer service training games. Designed not only to teach important skills but also to spark enthusiasm and a high level of involvement in the participants, these games utilize entertaining and instructive techniques such as role-playing, charades, brainstorming, and debate. As a result of these exercises, employees will learn how to create a rapport with the customer, how to focus on the unique needs of individual customers, how to maintain a positive attitude, and more." ISBN:2147483647 Author:Peggy Carlaw, Vasudha Deming, Vasudha Kathleen Deming
Add to wishlist
Add to basket
Quick view
delivery

QUICK DELIVERY

Swift dispatch

ONLINE PAYMENT

Multiple options

EXPERT SUPPORT

Help when you need it

WIDE VARIETY

Thousands of books

GLOBAL SHIPPING

Worldwide delivery

  • TALK TO US
    • 0794 233261 / 0724 670194
    • nuriakenyabookstore@gmail.com
    • The Bazaar Building, 1st Floor
  • About Nuria
    • Our Story
    • Blog
    • Contact Us
  • VENDORS
    • Sell on Nuria
    • Vendor Login
    • Privacy Policy
  • USEFUL LINKS
    • Delivery Policy
    • Returns
    • Gift Card Balance
digitals-app-store-button
google-play-button

We Accept

2023 NURIA KENYA All rights reserved
  • Menu
  • Categories
  • Kenya Books
  • Rare Books
  • International Bestsellers
  • Self Help & Motivation
  • Fiction
  • Autobiography
  • Business
  • Children’s Books
  • Kids & Teens
  • African Interest
  • Educational Books
  • Romances & Thrillers
  • Home
  • Shop
  • Gift Card
  • About Us
  • Nuria App
  • Contact Us
  • Wishlist
  • Login / Register
Shopping cart
Close
Sign in
Close

Lost your password?

No account yet?

Create an Account
Shop
Sidebar
0 Wishlist
4 items Cart
My account